Are we heading toward a world order in which military force has definitively silenced diplomacy? In this analysis, Gilberto Aranda and José Ángel Ruíz examine how the international system has shifted from cooperation to an “armed global bipolarization” that divides the planet into two major blocs.
PUBLICATIONS
Research, analysis and perspectives on the most relevant issues of our time. GATE Center’s team of experts and contributors share their knowledge and insights on the latest social, political and economic trends.
Iran and the Middle East: Between strategic weakening, internal resilience, and regional reconfiguration
The Middle East has entered a phase of accelerated transformation. The twelve-day war of June 2025 and the new military escalation of February 2026 should be understood as stages of the same regional dynamic: the convergence between Israel’s strategy of degrading Iranian capabilities and the American interest in limiting Tehran’s regional and nuclear reach.
Barcelona 2026: The Architecture of a Global Progressive Alternative
On April 17 and 18, 2026, Barcelona brought together the highest concentration of global progressive leadership recorded in recent decades. The deliberate overlap of the IV Meeting in Defense of Democracy with the Global Progressive Mobilisation gathered more than 3,000 participants from over 40 countries, including the presidents of Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Uruguay, and South Africa, as well as the President of the European Council. This is no minor detail.
Sudan enters the third year of its civil war
On April 15, 2026, the civil war in Sudan entered its third year and shows no signs of ending in the near future.
Cuba between Two Blockades: The Impact of the Helms–Burton Act Inside and Outside the Island
On March 12, 2026, thirty years marked since the enactment of the Helms–Burton Act in the United States, legislation that codified the economic and political embargo against Cuba and reinforced its extraterritorial character by expanding sanctions to foreign companies and actors maintaining economic relations with the Island.
Beyond Ukraine: Russia’s Global Strategy
Is the war in Ukraine the inevitable destiny of an empire or the result of a calculated strategy within the Kremlin?. In this exclusive analysis for GATE Center, Javier Morales Hernández breaks down how Russia has transitioned from seeking integration with the West in the 1990s to declaring a cultural and military “hybrid war” in 2026.
United Nations on its 80th anniversary in a multipolar world with a multilateralism at minimums: Gate Analysis, Rafael Grasa.
In March 2026, the United Nations marks eight decades of existence within a deeply fragmented global landscape.
Political, Economic, and Security Challenges in Africa: the African Union Summit
Under the theme “Ensuring Sustainable Access to Water and Safe Sanitation Systems,” the 39th Summit of the African Union (AU) was held on February 14–15 in Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia.
The Demographic Changes Threatening India’s Future
Following China’s example, India seeks to take advantage of its “demographic dividend” and improve its socioeconomic indicators before its population ages.
2026: A Year of Peace?
Without a doubt, 2025 will not go down in history as a year of peace. According to the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), in 2025 some 240,000 people died in violent clashes, an increase of 23% compared to the previous period.
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